Dow Dogs - Time for Soup
Over the carry on combine weeks, we maintain noticed a several articles not far off from the Dogs of the Dow, an investment strategy in which, on the basic trading daylight hours of the another time, the ten stocks from the Dow Jones Index with the aim of had the highest dividend yield throughout the previous time are purchased and held in place of single time.
The subsequently time, the same gadget is ready, with some stocks not in the top ten in place of the time, being replaced with the stocks with the aim of were.
The focus at this point is on the dividends the company pays considerably than the remuneration growth or charge appreciation. Clothed in regular provisions, the thought is to good buy stocks with the aim of will not solitary wage high-quality dividends, but will retain pricing levels on the classes of the imminent time.
If followed the way it is designed, we think the strategy is ridiculous. Why would investors hunger to invest in a strategy with the aim of requires the routine charge to fall in place of their investment objective to increase in intensity?
While not the sharpest pencils in the drawer, we immediately think such an investment strategy is flawed from the contract function.
By way of instance, we took the stocks we found listed in the 24/7 wall up St. Situate article upper-class Meet the 2011 Dogs of the Dow, and sort of worked through them.
Basis
At Wax Ink, all of our valuation toil is based on audited economic in turn as taken from a company's nearly everyone topical jiffy Form 10-K filing, which, in the legal action of the companies listed at this point, channel the FY09 data, is the hottest audited data to be had.
The Suggested Stocks
Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) The routine congested recently by the side of $91.60.
Based on unaudited FY10 economic in turn, the dividend yield was 3.2%, and the routine has a target charge of $94.88. Based on audited FY09 economic in turn, and our valuation spreadsheet, the routine had a dividend yield of 2.88%, and a reasonable quantity of $68.00. The routine charge besides increased 14% throughout 2010.
E.I. DuPont de Nemours and Company (NYSE: DD) The routine congested recently by the side of $49.69.
Based on unaudited FY10 economic in turn, the dividend yield was 3.3%, and the routine has a target charge of $54.80. Based on audited FY09 economic in turn, and our valuation spreadsheet, the routine had a dividend yield of 3.3%, and a reasonable quantity of $37.00. The routine charge besides increased 46% throughout 2010.
General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) The routine congested recently by the side of $18.25.
Based on unaudited FY10 economic in turn, the dividend yield was 3.1%, and the routine has a target charge of $21.00. Based on audited FY09 economic in turn, and our valuation spreadsheet, the routine had a dividend yield of 4.6%, and a reasonable quantity of $32.00. The routine charge besides increased 1% throughout 2010.
Johnson and Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) The routine congested recently by the side of $61.95.
Based on unaudited FY10 economic in turn, the dividend yield was 3.5%, and the routine has a target charge of $67.84.Based on audited FY09 economic in turn, and our valuation spreadsheet, the routine had a dividend yield of 3.1%, and has reasonable quantity of $52.00. The routine charge besides decreased 5% throughout 2010.
Kraft Foods, Inc. (NYSE: KFT) The routine congested recently by the side of $61.95.
Based on unaudited FY10 economic in turn, the dividend yield was 3.5%, and the routine has a target charge of $67.84.Based on audited FY09 economic in turn, and our valuation spreadsheet, the routine had a dividend yield of 3.1%, and a reasonable quantity of $52.00. The routine charge besides increased 15% throughout 2010.
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD) The routine congested recently by the side of $76.76.
Based on unaudited FY10 economic in turn, the dividend yield was 3.2%, and the routine has a target charge of $86.00. Based on audited FY09 economic in turn, and our valuation spreadsheet, the routine had a dividend yield of 2.6%, and a reasonable quantity of $48.00. The routine charge besides increased 22% throughout 2010.
Pfizer, Inc. (NYSE: PFE) The routine congested recently by the side of $17.51.
Based on unaudited FY10 economic in turn, the dividend yield was 4.6%, and the routine has a target charge of $21.23. Based on audited FY09 economic in turn, and our valuation spreadsheet, the routine had a dividend yield of 3.9%, and a reasonable quantity of $27.00. The routine charge besides decreased 8% throughout 2010.
ATT, Inc. (NYSE: T) The routine congested recently by the side of $29.38.
Based on unaudited FY10 economic in turn, the dividend yield was 5.9%, and the routine has a target charge of $30.93. Based on audited FY09 economic in turn, and our valuation spreadsheet, the routine had a dividend yield of 5.5%, and a reasonable quantity of $38.50. The routine charge besides increased 3% throughout 2010.
Verizon Communications, Inc. (NYSE: VZ) The routine congested recently by the side of $33.24.
Based on unaudited FY10 economic in turn, the dividend yield was 5.5%, and the routine has a target charge of $33.24. Based on audited FY09 economic in turn, and our valuation spreadsheet, the routine had a dividend yield of 5.0%, and a reasonable quantity of $43.50. The routine charge besides increased 8% throughout 2010.
Final Thoughts
While we thought earlier, we think the Dogs of the Dow investing strategy is ridiculous. Where would investors in Johnson and Johnson, and Pfizer, be had these companies not been between the top 10 dividend yielders throughout 2010?
According to the strategy, investors would retail these stocks, and restore them with other Dow stocks. But they would maintain sold them by the side of a loss.
Also, allowing for the charge gains in place of many of these stocks throughout 2010, it seems to us with the aim of investors are simply laying a bet with the aim of by the side of the last part of the time, stocks like DuPont in place of instance with the aim of had an increase in intensity in charge throughout 2010 of 46%, will by the side of the very smallest amount retain all of their 2010 charge gains, and last part 2011 between the highest dividend compliant stocks in the Dow Index.
Somehow we don't think the odds are real favorable in place of with the aim of to occur, but after that who knew Kibbles and Bits would be such great big seller?